目的 探讨胸腺指数及外周血绝对淋巴细胞计数(ALC)与感染性肺炎新生儿预后的关系。方法 回顾性分析203例感染性肺炎新生儿的临床资料。根据预后将患儿分为预后不良组和预后良好组。比较两组患儿的一般临床资料、胸腺指数、外周血ALC。采用多因素Logistic回归模型分析感染性肺炎新生儿预后的影响因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析胸腺指数、外周血ALC单独及联合预测感染性肺炎新生儿预后不良的效能。结果 203例患儿中,共42例预后不良(预后不良组),共161例预后良好(预后良好组),预后不良发生率为20.69%。预后不良组患儿出生后1 min Apgar评分≤7分占比、新生儿重症监护病房住院时间、肺部超声评分、治疗前血清白细胞介素6(IL-6)和降钙素原水平高于或长于预后良好组,胸腺指数、外周血ALC低于预后良好组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,出生后1 min Apgar评分、肺部超声评分、治疗前血清降钙素原水平增加是感染性肺炎新生儿预后不良的独立危险因素,胸腺指数、外周血ALC增加则是保护因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,胸腺指数、外周血ALC单独及联合预测感染性肺炎新生儿预后不良的曲线下面积分别为0.816、0.800、0.890,二者联合预测的曲线下面积大于胸腺指数、外周血ALC单独预测的曲线下面积(P<0.05)。结论 胸腺指数、外周血ALC降低可增加感染性肺炎新生儿预后不良的发生风险。二者对此类患儿的预后具有一定的预测效能,且二者联合应用时预测效能较高。
ObjectiveTo explore the relation of thymus index and peripheral blood absolute lymphocyte counts (ALC) with prognosis of neonates with infectious pneumonia. MethodsThe clinical data of 203 neonates with infectious pneumonia were retrospectively analyzed, and children were divided into adverse prognosis group or favorable prognosis group according to prognosis. The general clinical data, thymus index, and peripheral blood ALC were compared between children of the two groups. The multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors for prognosis of neonates with infectious pneumonia. The efficiency of thymus index, peripheral blood ALC for alone and jointly predicting adverse prognosis of neonates with infectious pneumonia by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. ResultsAmong 203 children, there were 42 cases with adverse prognosis (the adverse prognosis group), and 161 cases with favorable prognosis (the favorable prognosis group) in total, with the incidence rate of adverse prognosis in 20.69%. Children in the adverse prognosis group obtained a higher proportion of post-birth 1-minute Apgar score≤7, and a longer length of neonatal intensive care unit stay, as well as higher lung ultrasound score, pre-treatment serum interleukin 6 (IL-6) and procalcitonin levels as compared with the favorable prognosis group, while lower thymus index and peripheral blood ALC as compared with the favorable prognosis group (P<0.05). The results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that the elevations of post-birth 1-minute Apgar score, lung ultrasound score, and pre-treatment procalcitonin level were independent risk factors for adverse prognosis of neonates with infectious pneumonia, while the elevations of thymus index and peripheral blood ALC were the protective factors (P<0.05). The results of ROC curve analysis indicated that areas under the curve of thymus index and peripheral blood ALC for alone and jointly predicting adverse prognosis of neonates with infectious pneumonia were 0.816, 0.800, and 0.890, respectively, and area under the curve of the combined prediction of the two was larger than that of areas under the curve of thymus index and peripheral blood ALC for single prediction (P<0.05). ConclusionDecreases of thymus index and peripheral blood ALC may increase the occurrence risk of adverse prognosis in neonates with infectious pneumonia. The two indices exert predictive efficiency for prognosis of such children to a certain extent, and the predictive efficiency is higher when the two indices are used together.